BUY ,SELL,OR HOLD

***** IT IS TIME TO PLAY BUY - SELL - OR HOLD .

A SIMPLE BUT DIFFICULT  GAME .  SIMPLE IN THAT WILL A TEAM WIN AS MANY AS LAST YEAR

IF YOU THINK A TEAM WILL WIN MORE YOU BUY . IF YOU THINK A TEAM WILL WIN LESS YOU SELL . IF YOU THINK A TEAM WILL WIN THE SAME YOU HOLD . SIMPLE

DIFFICULT IN THAT YOU FEEL COMPELLED TO SELL SOME REALLY GOOD TEAMS BECAUSE YOU DON'T THINK THEY CAN KEEP THE WINNING PACE .

EXAMPLES  TEAMS THAT WON TEN OR MORE . CAN THEY DO IT AGAIN ?

YOU MAY BUY SOME BAD TEAMS BECAUSE THEY CAN'T HELP BE BETTER .
IF YOU THINK THINGS WILL REMAIN THE SAME YOU HOLD .

LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT THE SEC - EAST .

FLORIDA

 THE GATORS WON 11 GAMES LAST YEAR , THEY RETURN 10 STARTERS  5 ON OFFENSE  4 ON DEFENSE AND A PUNTER .

THEY HAVE A RETURNING STARTER AT QB . THE SCHEDULE IS TOUGH WITH TWO VERY HARD ROAD GAMES .

I AM GOING TO SELL THE GATORS . I DON'T THINK THEY CAN GET 11 THIS YEAR .

SELL - FLORIDA

GEORGIA

THE DAWGS WON 12 GAMES LAST YEAR . THEY RETURN 10 STARTERS ON OFFENSE INCLUDING QB . GEORGIA HAS ONLY 3 DEFENSIVE STARTERS RETURNING .

THE BULLDOGS HAVE TWO HARD ROAD GAMES AND TWO BIG ONES AT HOME .

IT HURTS BECAUSE I LOVE GEORGIA BUT I HAVE TO SELL THE DAWGS . THAT 12 BAR IS JUST A BIT TOO HIGH

SELL - GEORGIA

KENTUCKY

THE WILDCATS WON TWO LAST YEAR  . THEY RETURN 4 OFFENSIVE STARTERS INCLUDING A QB . THEY DEFENSE RETURNS FIVE .

I DON'T SEE MANY WINS ON THE KENTUCKY DANCE CARD BUT YOU WOULD THINK THEY COULD GET A COUPLE .

HOLD - KENTUCKY

MISSOURI

THE TIGERS WON FIVE LAST YEAR . THEY HAVE GOT TO BE RE-THINKING THIS SEC TRIP .

MISSOURI RETURNS A QB AMONG 8 OFFENSE STARTERS AND 6 ON DEFENSE

LOOKING AT THE SCHEDULE THE TIGERS COULD START 4 - 0 .  MISSOURI COULD COME UP WITH 2 OR 3 MORE WINS IF THINGS FELL RIGHT .

I AM NOT GOING TO BUY JUST YET

HOLD  - MISSOURI

SOUTH CAROLINA

THE GAMECOCKS HAVE WON 11 THE PAST TWO YEARS .

THE FIGHTING CHICKENS RETURN  6 ON OFFENSE AND FIVE ON DEFENSE . STARTERS INCLUDE A QB AND THE CONFERENCE'S MOST DOMINANT DEFENSIVE PLAYER  JADEVON CLOWNEY

USC ONLY HAS ONE REALLY HARD ROAD  GAME AND TWO HOME GAMES THAT COULD BE IFFY .

THIS IS A REALLY HARD CALL . BUT HERE GOES .

SELL - SOUTH CAROLINA

TENNESSEE

THE BIG ORANGE WON FIVE LAST YEAR .  THEY RETURN FIVE OFFENSIVE STARTERS INCLUDING THE BEST O-LINE IN THE SEC ..

THE VOLS RETURN 8 ON DEFENSE BUT THAT MIGHT NOT BE GOOD . LAST YEARS DEFENSE WAS THE WORST IN SCHOOL HISTORY .

I THINK TENNESSEE WILL BE AWFUL BUT THE VOLS ARE  DUE  SOME BREAKS .

TENNESSEE HAS 5 VERY WINNABLE HOME GAMES AND SHOULD WIN A COUPLE ON THE ROAD

MY INDICATORS SAY BUY BUT I JUST CAN'T BRING MYSELF TO BELIEVE .

HOLD - TENNESSEE

VANDERBILT

I LOVE THE COMMODORES . LAST YEARS NINE WIN SEASON WAS THE BEST IN ALMOST 100 YEARS .

VANDY FANS THINK THEY HAVE DIED AND GONE TO HEAVEN .

WILL LIGHTING STRIKE AGAIN ?

THE DORES RETURN 8 ON OFFENSE { NO QB] AND  6 ON DEFENSE .

VANDY COULD GO 4 - 0 IN NON-CONFERENCE PLAY  THEY SHOULD HAVE A SHOT TO GO 6 OF 7 AT HOME . 

BUT THE MOST I CAN COME UP WITH IS SEVEN .

THIS JUST KILLS ME BUT I MUST .

SELL - VANDERBILT .



********** NEXT WEEK THE WEST .